First and recurrent events after percutaneous coronary intervention: implications for survival analyses.
Anupama Vasudevan M.D.
Vasudevan, A., J. W. Choi, G. A. Feghali, A. Y. Kluger, S. R. Lander, K. M. Tecson, M. Sathyamoorthy, J. M. Schussler, R. C. Stoler, R. C. Vallabhan, C. E. Velasco, A. Yoon and P. A. McCullough (2019). “First and recurrent events after percutaneous coronary intervention: implications for survival analyses.” Scand Cardiovasc J Jul 25: 1-6. [Epub ahead of print].
Objectives. Using composite endpoints and/or only first events in clinical research result in information loss and alternative statistical methods which incorporate recurrent event data exist. We compared information-loss under traditional analyses to alternative models. Design. We conducted a retrospective analysis of patients who underwent percutaneous coronary intervention (Jan2010-Dec2014) and constructed Cox models for a composite endpoint (readmission/death), a shared frailty model for recurrent events, and a joint frailty (JF) model to simultaneously account for recurrent and terminal events and evaluated the impact of heart failure (HF) on the outcome. Results. Among 4901 patients, 2047(41.8%) experienced a readmission or death within 1 year. Of those with recurrent events, 60% had >/=1 readmission and 6% had >4; a total of 121(2.5%) patients died during follow-up. The presence of HF conferred an adjusted Hazard ratio (HR) of 1.32 (95% CI: 1.18-1.47, p < .001) for the risk of composite endpoint (Cox model), 1.44 (95% CI: 1.36-1.52, p < .001) in the frailty model, and 1.34 (95% CI:1.22-1.46, p < .001) in the JF model. However, HF was not associated with death (HR 0.87, 95% CI: 0.52-1.48, p = .61) in the JF model. Conclusions. Using a composite endpoint and/or only the first event yields substantial loss of information, as many individuals endure >1 event. JF models reduce bias by simultaneously providing event-specific HRs for recurrent and terminal events.