Wey, A., S. Noreen, S. Gentry, M. Cafarella, J. Trotter, N. Salkowski, D. Segev, A. Israni, B. Kasiske, R. Hirose and J. Snyder (2021). “The effect of acuity circles on deceased donor transplant and offer rates across MELD and exception statuses.” Liver Transpl Sep 5. [Epub ahead of print].
Full text of this article.
Acuity circles (AC), the new liver allocation system, was implemented on February 4, 2020. Difference-in-differences analyses estimated the effect of AC on adjusted deceased donor transplant and offer rates across pediatric and adult models for end-stage liver disease (P/MELD) categories and types of exception statuses. The offer rates were the number of first offers, top 5 offers, and top 10 offers on the match run per person-year. Each analysis adjusted for candidate characteristics, and only used active candidate time on the waiting list. The before-AC period was February 4, 2019, to February 3, 2020, and the after-AC period was February 4, 2020, to February 3, 2021. P/MELD 29-32 and P/MELD 33-36 candidates had higher transplant rates than P/MELD 15-28 candidates after AC compared to before (transplant rate ratios: P/MELD 29-32, (2.34) 3.32(4.71) ; P/MELD 33-36, (1.70) 2.51(3.71) ). P/MELD 29 or higher candidates had higher offer rates than P/MELD 15-28 candidates, and P/MELD 29-32 candidates had the largest difference (offer rate ratios [ORR]: 1(st) offers, (2.77) 3.95(5.63) ; top 5 offers, (3.90) 4.39(4.95) ; top 10 offers, (4.85) 5.30(5.80) ). Candidates with exceptions had lower offer rates than candidates without exceptions for offers in the top 5 (ORR: hepatocellular carcinoma [HCC], (0.68) 0.77(0.88) ; non-HCC, (0.73) 0.81(0.89) ) and top 10 (ORR: HCC, (0.59) 0.65(0.71) ; non-HCC, (0.69) 0.75(0.81) ). P/MELD 15-28 and HCC exception recipients received a larger proportion of donation after circulatory death (DCD) donors after AC than before, although the differences in the liver donor risk index was comparatively small. Thus, P/MELD 29-34 and non-exception candidates had better access to transplant after AC, and donor quality did not notably change beyond the proportion of DCD donors.